mercoledì, giugno 03, 2009

 

228 morti in attesa di un perché
(aggiornamento)



Cosa si sa

Airbus A330-200 AFIl Volo Air France 447, decollato alle ore 22.10 (UTC) del 31 maggio da Rio de Janeiro e diretto a Parigi con 228 persone a bordo, è scomparso intorno alle ore 2.14 antimeridiane del 1 giugno in un punto non ancora precisato dell'Oceano Atlantico a circa 500 km a NE delle isole Fernando de Noronha.

L'ultimo contatto radio tra i piloti dell'Airbus A330-200 Air France e l'assistenza al volo brasiliana è avvenuto alle ore 1.33, mentre l'aereo si apprestava a uscire dallo spazio aereo sorvegliato dai radar di Natal (BRA) per dirigersi verso quello controllato dall'assistenza al volo senegalese.
In quel momento l'aereo di linea volava a una quota di 10.670 metri alla velocità di crociera di 840 kmh.
Se il volo fosse continuato regolarmente, entro circa 50 minuti l'Airbus sarebbe comparso sugli schermi radar di Dakar e i piloti francesi avrebbero confermato via radio la nuova posizione a entrambe i servizi di assistenza al volo.

Invece, tra le 2.10 e le 2.14 il sistema automatico di trasmissione dei report tecnici (ACARS) dell'aeromobile trasmette via satellite al centro di manutenzione Airbus in Francia una serie di rapporti relativi ad anomalie e malfunzionamenti a catena nella strumentazione di controllo e nell'elettronica di bordo. L'ultimo messaggio automatico segnala una possibile perdita di pressione in cabina e l'avaria completa dei sistemi elettrici.

La tragedia si consuma nel più assoluto silenzio: nessun contatto radio da parte dei piloti, né per segnalare problemi tecnici né per lanciare il mayday.
L'operazione di ricerca e salvataggio, infatti, scatta quando in Brasile rilevano il mancato contatto radio e radar.

La tempesta

Lungo l'aerovia seguita dall'Airbus prende forma un fronte tempestoso di nembocumuli che si sviluppano in altezza fino a 12.000 metri e in profondità per diversi km. Non è un fatto infrequente nella fascia equatoriale dove si incontrano i venti dominanti (alisei) dell'emisfero boreale e australe.
Quell'ammasso di nubi torreggianti è una sorta di enorme, ribollente pentola a pressione; al suo interno le nuvole cariche di umidità salgono fino alla stratosfera, soffiano correnti in salita e in discesa che superano abbondantemente i 100 kmh e si formano campi elettrici di una potenza devastante.

I piloti che volano sulle rotte equatoriali conoscono questi fenomeni di interconvenzione: ne sono informati in tempo reale dalle immagini satellitari e dai bollettini meteo, oltre che dal campo visivo della carlinga, per cui hanno modo di scegliere se aggirare la tempesta o passare dove questa è meno intensa, avendo come punto di riferimento la sicurezza dell'aeromobile e dei passeggeri.

Cosa NON sappiamo


Sicurezza

Una cosa è certa: anche in condizioni meteo ideali, i guasti a ripetizione segnalati dai report automatici avrebbero messo a dura prova le capacità dei piloti di condurre l'aeromobile fino al più vicino aeroporto e di atterrare in sicurezza.
L'Airbus A330-200 è un apparecchio reputato tra i più affidabili al mondo proprio per la presenza di sistemi di controllo avanzati. Quello scomparso in mezzo all'Atlantico era uscito di fabbrica nel 2005 e aveva accumulato meno di 20.000 ore di volo. L'ultima manutenzione approfondita in hangar risaliva alla metà di aprile.
Se non verranno recuperate le scatole nere ben difficilmente si arriverà a stabilire le cause del disastro e ad applicare i dovuti correttivi.

Le scatole nere verranno recuperate?

Il pessimismo è d'obbligo. Alcuni dei frammenti localizzati in mare non appartengono, come si era detto in un primo momento, al Volo AF447, e questo rende ancora più complesso delimitare il perimetro della zona di ricerca.
E' vero che le scatole nere sono dotate di un emettitore di impulsi alimentato da una batteria interna che ha un'autonomia di circa un mese e che l'acqua è un buon conduttore acustico. Per localizzare la fonte, però, sono necessari microfoni particolarmente sensibili calati a profondità elevate, in quanto le correnti sottomarine tendono a deviare e smorzare la propagazione dei segnali.
Inoltre, anche se in teoria i mini sommergibili robotizzati francesi possono operare fino a 6000 metri di profondità mentre l'Atlantico in quella zona non supera i 4700 metri, non si sa se i piccoli batiscafi potranno raggiungere le scatole nere in un fondale oceanico fatto di dirupi e gole rocciose.
[Edit - Sat.06.06.2009]

Etichette: ,


Comments:
Purtroppo poi in questi casi per sapere le cause, le risposte sono molto lunghe.
 
Silenzio e cordoglio per chi nel disastro se n'è andato.
Voce molto alta, invece, insieme a quella di chi è rimasto solo con nient'altro che lacrime, a pretendere risposte per ogni domanda. Ma servirà?
 
Ehi fratello!!! Vieni ancora a trovarmi nonostante la mia assenza!
Che piacere...
Sai che mi fa pensare a primo impatto la storia di questo aereo?
Ustica...
 
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Il giudice Priore ha detto che in questo disastro trova delle analogie impressionanti con la brutta storia di Ustica..se è così, la verità potrebbe arrivare molto tardi.
 
@Duhangst @Marce @GiraffaC @Melavvelenata
- ho letto anch'io le dichiarazioni di Rosario Priore, ma mi pare che le analogie si restringano al ritardo con cui i francesi hanno reagito dopo che l'Airbus è scomparso dai radar, al loro strani riserbo nel fornire informazioni.

Nella tragica notte di Ustica ci fu qualcosa del genere: il DC9 Itavia volava verso il suo destino "al buio", come se tutti i ponti radio, i radiofari e l'assistenza al volo sulla Blu 21 fossero spenti, in avaria o incustoditi.
Anche allora la traccia radar scomparve: ci fu chi vide e apparecchi che registrarono l'accaduto a Marsala e Poggio Ballone, ma ufficialmente nessuno vide.
Anni dopo, ci fu chi "fu suicidato" per aver messo a rischio la consegna del silenzio e graduati che hanno convissuto per anni con crisi di pianto, incubi e depressione.

Nel caso del Volo AF447 si rischia oggettivamente di non arrivare mai a chiarire la dinamica dei fatti perché i possibili elementi di prova diverranno virtualmente irraggiungibili prima che sul luogo arrivi dalla Francia, dal Regno Unito o dagli USA una spedizione navale di recupero attrezzata.
E' una corsa contro il tempo ad handicap, visto il ritardo nella reazione dei francesi.

Personalmente non credo a un attentato, ma non so spiegarmi un paio di cose:
a) piloti esperti che sottovalutano situazioni meteo non infrequenti a quella latitudine e su quella aerovia, che solo all'ultimo tentano (così sembra) di invertire la rotta;
b) l'ingovernabilità dell'aereo così fulminea e totale da non dare tempo a contromosse o richieste di soccorso. C'è da dire che oltre al calo di pressione nel cockpit e al malfunzionamento della parte elettrica, il segnale automatico ricevuto in Francia segnalava variazioni anomale, totalmente fuori range, nei dati su assetto e altitudine;
C)l'Airbus è venuto giù come un sasso e si è spezzato in più tronconi urtando l'oceano, oppure è "deflagrato" mentre era ancora in aria: se fosse così, perché?
Posso ipotizzare (e sperare) che nessuno a bordo fosse vivo e/o cosciente al momento dell'impatto, se l'evento che ha causato una depressurizzazione a 8.000/10.000 metri è stato particolarmente violento da non dare tempo di indossare le maschere.

A bordo del DC9 Itavia, invece, qualcuno sopravvisse abbastanza da usare la cinta dei calzoni come laccio emostatico per cercare di contenere l'emorragia a una gamba. L'aereo, pur seriamente danneggiato, rimase alcune ore quasi a pelo sull'acqua, come notò l'osservatore a bordo di un Breguet Atlantique del 30 Stormo decollato da Elmas.
Però le navi partite in soccorso dopo l'allarme persero tempo perché messe fuori rotta da indicazioni confuse e/o totalmente errate (e qui c'è un precedente con quanto avvenne nella rada di Livorno dopo la collione tra la Moby Prince e l'Agip Abruzzo).

Nonostante tutto, mi auguro che i parenti di chi era a bordo del AF447 trovino le risposte a cui hanno diritto.
 
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The relative complexities of women's and men's fashion

Both women and men could feel the pressures of keeping their wardrobe up-to-date and in time, yet men's fashion usually feels a lot simpler. Of program, for both sexes, costumes and style choices can be equally as elaborate, and there are several'cool'items which can easily become fashion faux pas - who will say they often see people travelling in 70s flames? On the other side, men's fashion includes a few staple goods that will exist eternally - which man is planning to look out of place with a good-quality, tailored suit, for instance? Select traditional pieces, colors and materials and you'll never seem out-of-place.

Why common men's style is timeless

The common man's suit has barely changed for over a hundred years. True, there are numerous types for various events, but they are all common in their search for a wise, sharp search for the individual. The neat thing about traditional style for men is that it's effortlessly trendy effortlessly cool. A well-groomed man can typically look his sharpest in a well-tailored suit, and this can be a testament to the design of such apparel. A suit will undoubtedly be used to work in many professions due to the professional search it provides to the individual, instilling a feeling of respect and confidence. Equally a suit will be worn to many social occasions, like a tuxedo to a black-tie event. This amazing flexibility which allows suits to be worn in almost all situations is what gives it its amazing border and a lasting devote men's fashion.

Modern developments in traditional men's fashion

Although common men's designs can never be changed, it's interesting to remember that shifts in men's fashion trends have produced certain common clothes back into fashion. The acceptance of vintage clothing, specifically, has had back a wide-variety of basic types into men's wardrobes, such as that of the dandy guy. 'Dandy'is a term used to refer to men who dress yourself in a classic yet lavish way, placing value on appearance and operating in a refined method. This pattern for almost'over-the-top'classic fashion for men is evident from events such as the'Tweed Run', where men and girls of all ages clothe themselves in particularly Victorian-style outfit and decide to try the streets on vintage cycles - with many of the men sporting perfect mustaches! This is just one of several samples of research presenting the revival of such designs. There are also numerous blogs online which focus on gentlemanly style - such as'The Dandy Project'and'Dandyism'- as well as entire websites such as'The Art of Manliness'dedicated to providing articles on basic men's fashion and grooming.

In summary, although certain areas of basic men's fashion may be cut back as new movements, the simple clothes that they are based on will never fall out of fashion.

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